|
The
development of ecological environment in China based on the system dynamics
method from the society, economy and environment perspective
Yang
Guang1, Song Ge1,2* and Liu Han3
1College of
Resources and Environment of Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin,150030
China
2Northeastern
University School of Humanities and Law,Shenyang,110819 China
3Harbin water
authority, Harbin,150030
*Corresponding
Author E-mail: songgelaoshi@163.com
|
|
Publication
Data
Paper received:
24 July 2015
Revised received:
27 November 2015??
Accepted:
30 November 2015
|
Abstract
The
harmonious development in society, economy and environment are crucial to
regional sustained boom. However, the society, economy and environment are
not respectively independent, but both mutually promotes one which, or
restrict mutually complex to have the long-enduring overall process. The
present study is an attempt to investigate the relationship and interaction
of society, economy and environment in China based on the data from 2004 to
2013. The principal component analysis (PCA) model was employed to identify
the main factors effecting the society, economy and environment subsystems,
and SD (system dynamics) method used to carry out dynamic assessment for
future state of sustainability from society, economy and environment
perspective with future indicator values. Sustainable development in China
was divided in the study into three phase from 2004 to 2013 based competitive
values of these three subsystems. According to the results of PCA model,
China is in third phase, and the economy growth is faster than the
environment development, while the social development still maintained a
steady and rapid growth, implying that the next step for sustainable
development in China should focus on society development, especially the
environment development.
Key
words
Ecological
environment, Empirical study, Social-economic-environmental system
|
|
Copyright
? 2016 Triveni Enterprises. All rights reserved. No part of the Journal can
be reproduced in any form without prior permission. Responsibility
regarding the authenticity of the data, and the acceptability of the conclusions
enforced or derived, rest completely with the author(s).
|